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World News 01 01 08
CLOSE THE CENTRAL BANK
We're on the verge of a Bear Market of epic proportions
RadioZX Editor
Mighty Quinn
01-01-2008
This week, investors will be looking for signs that inflation is under control. If prices accelerate, the Federal Reserve may bump rates back up. The market is also hoping that readings on durable goods demand, the housing market and consumer spending power will show that the economy isn't heading for recession.
The credit bubble is just starting to unwind!
We are headed for hard times as we end an optimistic era of too much liquidity, too much leverage and too much financial engineering slowly and inevitably deflates.
Fear about the subprime-lending crisis propelled a run on one of England's banks last week.
When was the last time you saw a bank run?
Unless you're old enough to remember the Great Depression, the answer is probably never. But a lot of worried savers in England got an up-close-and-personal look at a bank run last week.
Fearing that the subprime-mortgage mess was about to swallow their savings, over three days depositors pulled $6 billion out of the bank. The run started to taper off only after the British government stepped in..
Could that happen in the U.S.?
Let's analyze the red flags and assess the dangers.
Countrywide Financial, may fall, if the truth comes out about, cooking the books (too much financial engineering), and the risky lending practices that have struck mortgage lenders such as Accredited Home Lenders, Countrywide Financial, and Novastar Financial
The U.S. practice of bundling together first and second mortgages to enable a purchaser to put zero down seem, well, conservative.
Mortgages for 100% of a home's value -- let alone 125% mortgages -- stand a good chance of going bad when home prices start to fall. And that's exactly what has happened in both the United States and the United Kingdom.
Countrywide isn't out of danger, even after Bank of America invested $2 billion in the company, but that deal does increase the odds that Countrywide will be able to tap other sources of capital if it continues to have problems securing financing in the commercial-paper market.
The companies facing the biggest funding problems are those, like Novastar Financial, that don't have banks at all.
Other possible trouble spots are companies such as E*Trade Financial that dabble in banking and mortgage lending but where neither activity is a core competency. E*Trade announced Sept. 17 that it would exit the wholesale-mortgage business.
Besides economic data, Wall Street will be watching out for profit warnings from companies ahead of October's flood of third-quarter earnings.
Investors are a bit nervous about how corporate America fared during August's stock market volatility and credit tightness, but they are optimistic at this point, particularly given that international growth (the buying & selling of Chinese Junk) is a big source of income for many companies.
In John Trumbull's painting Declaration of Independence, the five-man drafting committee is presenting its work to the Continental Congress. Jefferson is the tall figure in the center laying the Declaration on the desk.
John Trumbull's (June 6, 1756 – November 10, 1843) famous painting is usually incorrectly identified as a depiction of the signing of the Declaration. What the painting actually depicts is the five-man drafting committee presenting their work to the Congress. Trumbull's painting can also be found on the back of the U.S. $2 bill.
Thomas Jefferson (April 13, 1743 – July 4, 1826) was the third President of the United States (1801–1809)
THE PRINCIPAL AUTHOR OF THE DECLARATION OF INDEPENDENCE
(1776), and one of the most influential Founding Fathers for his promotion of the ideals of republicanism in the United States.
Major events during his presidency include the Louisiana Purchase (1803) and the Lewis and Clark Expedition (1804–1806).
As a political philosopher, Jefferson was a man of the Enlightenment and knew many intellectual leaders in Britain and France. He idealized the independent yeoman farmer as exemplar of republican virtues, distrusted cities and financiers, and favored states' rights and a strictly limited federal government.
Jefferson supported the separation of church and state and was the author of the Virginia Statute for Religious Freedom (1779, 1786). He was the eponym of Jeffersonian democracy and the co-founder and leader of the Democratic-Republican Party, which dominated American politics for a quarter-century.
In 1780, he joined Benjamin Franklin's American Philosophical Society. He served as president of the society from 1797 to 1815.
Jefferson served as the wartime Governor of Virginia (1779–1781), first United States Secretary of State (1789–1793) and second Vice President (1797–1801).
A polymath, Jefferson achieved distinction as, among other things, a horticulturist, statesman, architect, archaeologist, paleontologist, author, inventor and founder of the University of Virginia.
When President John F. Kennedy welcomed forty-nine Nobel Prize winners to the White House in 1962 he said, "I think this is the most extraordinary collection of talent and of human knowledge that has ever been gathered together at the White House – with the possible exception of when Thomas Jefferson dined alone."
P.S. we predicted the Dot com Crash 8 months in advance.
From the Editors of RadioZX
We assume no liability for composition errors
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